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Hamburger SV
17:00
Eintracht Frankfurt
Tue 27 Oct, 17:00 Volksparkstadion Tobias Stieler
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 86%Books 86% Best odds 1.15 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win
32%
Bookmakers 29%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
44%
Bookmakers 46%
Us 44%Bookmakers 46% Edge -2.1 pts Uncertainty ±1.8%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 44% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

  • Away win: 44% against a market price of 46% (-2.1%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 5 versions of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Hamburger SV

LWWWL
  • 24 Oct · A v SC Paderborn 07 0–1 (xG 0.49–1.21)
  • 17 Oct · H v VfB Stuttgart 1–0 (xG 1.46–1.71)
  • 10 Oct · A v 1899 Hoffenheim 3–2 (xG 1.28–0.93)
  • 19 Sep · H v 1. FC Köln 2–1
  • 13 Sep · A v RB Leipzig 0–5 (xG 1.10–2.43)

Eintracht Frankfurt

LWLDW
  • 24 Oct · A v Borussia Dortmund 0–1 (xG 0.91–1.56)
  • 16 Oct · H v 1. FC Köln 1–0 (xG 1.84–0.82)
  • 10 Oct · A v RB Leipzig 0–6 (xG 1.46–4.03)
  • 19 Sep · H v SC Freiburg 2–2 (xG 2.18–3.09)
  • 12 Sep · A v FSV Mainz 05 3–1 (xG 2.04–2.12)

Head-to-head

Hamburger SV 1 · draws 1 · Eintracht Frankfurt 0, 2.5 goals a game

  • 2 May 2026 · Eintracht Frankfurt 1–2 Hamburger SV (Bundesliga)
  • 20 Dec 2025 · Hamburger SV 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt (Bundesliga)