Holstein Kiel
19:45
1899 Hoffenheim
Wed 28 Oct, 19:45
Holstein-Stadion
Bastian Dankert
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 88%Books 88% Best odds 1.12 (Betano)
Most likely: Away win
Home win
16%
Bookmakers 16%
Draw
19%
Bookmakers 19%
Away win
64%
Bookmakers 65%
Us 64%Bookmakers 65%
Edge -0.8 pts
Uncertainty ±2.6%
Most likely away win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.
- Away win: 64% against a market price of 65% (-0.8%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsHolstein Kiel
WDLDL
- 25 Oct · H v Dynamo Dresden 3–0 (xG 1.47–2.04)
- 16 Oct · H v Hertha BSC 0–0 (xG 0.61–1.59)
- 9 Oct · A v Eintracht Braunschweig 0–1 (xG 1.19–1.08)
- 19 Sep · H v VfL Osnabrück 1–1 (xG 2.10–1.82)
- 13 Sep · A v 1. FC Heidenheim 0–1 (xG 0.80–2.33)
1899 Hoffenheim
WWWLL
- 25 Oct · H v Bayer Leverkusen 3–0 (xG 3.34–0.68)
- 22 Oct · H v Lyon 3–0 (xG 2.13–0.89)
- 18 Oct · A v Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–1 (xG 1.84–0.42)
- 15 Oct · H v Beşiktaş 2–3 (xG 1.20–3.39)
- 10 Oct · H v Hamburger SV 2–3 (xG 0.93–1.28)
Head-to-head
Holstein Kiel 0 · draws 0 · 1899 Hoffenheim 2, 4.5 goals a game
- 18 Jan 2025 · Holstein Kiel 1–3 1899 Hoffenheim (Bundesliga)
- 24 Aug 2024 · 1899 Hoffenheim 3–2 Holstein Kiel (Bundesliga)