Rot-Weiß Essen
17:00
RB Leipzig
Tue 27 Oct, 17:00
Stadion Essen
Florian Exner
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 90%Books 90% Best odds 1.10 (Pinnacle)
Most likely: Away win
Home win
7%
Bookmakers 6%
Draw
12%
Bookmakers 11%
Away win
81%
Bookmakers 83%
Us 81%Bookmakers 83%
Edge -2.1 pts
Uncertainty ±2.9%
Most likely away win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.
- Away win: 81% against a market price of 83% (-2.1%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
Join free to open themAlready a member? Sign in
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsRot-Weiß Essen
WLWDD
- 23 Oct · H v SSV Jahn Regensburg 1–0
- 17 Oct · A v FC Ingolstadt 04 0–1
- 13 Oct · H v Fortuna Köln 2–0
- 9 Oct · A v Preußen Münster 3–3
- 20 Sep · H v Hansa Rostock 1–1
RB Leipzig
WLLWW
- 24 Oct · H v SV Elversberg 4–0 (xG 2.91–0.68)
- 21 Oct · A v Real Madrid 1–4 (xG 1.51–3.13)
- 17 Oct · A v Bayern München 1–6 (xG 0.90–3.48)
- 13 Oct · H v PSV Eindhoven 1–0 (xG 2.10–1.40)
- 10 Oct · H v Eintracht Frankfurt 6–0 (xG 4.03–1.46)
Head-to-head
Rot-Weiß Essen 0 · draws 0 · RB Leipzig 1, 5.0 goals a game
- 17 Aug 2024 · Rot-Weiß Essen 1–4 RB Leipzig (DFB Pokal)