Dynamo Dresden
17:00
FC Schalke 04
Wed 28 Oct, 17:00
Rudolf-Harbig Stadion
Wolfgang Haslberger
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 82%Books 81% Best odds 1.20 (Betfair)
Match result: no bet
Home win
28%
Bookmakers 28%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
47%
Bookmakers 47%
Us 47%Bookmakers 47%
Edge +0.3 pts
Uncertainty ±1.6%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 47% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.3% alone is not enough).
- Away win: 47% against a market price of 47% (+0.3%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsDynamo Dresden
LWDLD
- 25 Oct · A v Holstein Kiel 0–3 (xG 2.04–1.47)
- 18 Oct · H v 1. FC Magdeburg 2–0 (xG 2.13–0.93)
- 10 Oct · A v VfL Osnabrück 1–1 (xG 0.61–1.45)
- 19 Sep · H v Hertha BSC 1–2 (xG 0.83–2.58)
- 12 Sep · A v Eintracht Braunschweig 2–2 (xG 0.97–1.27)
FC Schalke 04
DLLDW
- 24 Oct · A v 1. FC Köln 0–0 (xG 0.66–1.29)
- 17 Oct · H v FSV Mainz 05 0–1 (xG 0.33–1.53)
- 11 Oct · A v SC Freiburg 1–2 (xG 0.32–1.15)
- 20 Sep · H v SV Elversberg 0–0 (xG 1.01–1.01)
- 11 Sep · A v Union Berlin 3–1 (xG 2.52–1.95)
Head-to-head
Dynamo Dresden 0 · draws 1 · FC Schalke 04 1, 2.5 goals a game
- 7 Feb 2026 · FC Schalke 04 2–2 Dynamo Dresden (2. Bundesliga)
- 31 Aug 2025 · Dynamo Dresden 0–1 FC Schalke 04 (2. Bundesliga)