Aucas
21:30
Barcelona SC
Sun 25 Oct, 21:30
Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
48%
Bookmakers 50%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
24%
Bookmakers 22%
Us 48%Bookmakers 50%
Edge -1.9 pts
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 48% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 48% against a market price of 50% (-1.9%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsAucas
DLLDD
- 17 Oct · H v LDU de Quito 1–1 (xG 1.06–1.95)
- 10 Oct · A v Independiente del Valle 1–2 (xG 0.62–0.15)
- 19 Sep · H v Macara 1–2
- 12 Sep · A v Manta FC 0–0
- 7 Sep · H v Barcelona SC 1–1 (xG 1.62–1.01)
Barcelona SC
DLDDW
- 18 Oct · H v Universidad Catolica 1–1 (xG 0.55–0.28)
- 11 Oct · A v LDU de Quito 1–2 (xG 0.00–0.00)
- 13 Sep · H v Delfin SC 1–1
- 7 Sep · A v Aucas 1–1 (xG 1.01–1.62)
- 3 Sep · H v Independiente del Valle 2–1
Head-to-head
Aucas 1 · draws 4 · Barcelona SC 1, 2.2 goals a game
- 7 Sep 2026 · Aucas 1–1 Barcelona SC (Liga Pro)
- 17 May 2026 · Barcelona SC 3–0 Aucas (Liga Pro)
- 28 Sep 2025 · Barcelona SC 1–1 Aucas (Liga Pro)
- 1 Jun 2025 · Aucas 2–0 Barcelona SC (Liga Pro)
- 2 Nov 2024 · Aucas 1–1 Barcelona SC (Liga Pro)
- 12 May 2024 · Barcelona SC 1–1 Aucas (Liga Pro)