Independiente del Valle
20:30
Universidad Catolica
Fri 23 Oct, 20:30
Estadio Banco Guayaquil
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
58%
Bookmakers 58%
Draw
23%
Bookmakers 24%
Away win
19%
Bookmakers 18%
Us 58%Bookmakers 58%
Edge +0.1 pts
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 58% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.1% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 58% against a market price of 58% (+0.1%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsIndependiente del Valle
LWDWL
- 17 Oct · A v Macara 0–1 (xG 1.76–0.98)
- 10 Oct · H v Aucas 2–1 (xG 0.15–0.62)
- 18 Sep · A v Flamengo 1–1
- 13 Sep · A v Libertad 3–2
- 11 Sep · H v Flamengo 0–2
Universidad Catolica
DLLWW
- 18 Oct · A v Barcelona SC 1–1 (xG 0.28–0.55)
- 11 Oct · H v Macara 0–1 (xG 1.30–0.98)
- 20 Sep · A v LDU de Quito 1–2
- 15 Sep · H v Orense SC 2–1 (xG 1.13–0.22)
- 6 Sep · A v Delfin SC 1–0
Head-to-head
Independiente del Valle 3 · draws 2 · Universidad Catolica 1, 2.8 goals a game
- 29 Aug 2026 · Independiente del Valle 2–2 Universidad Catolica (Liga Pro)
- 1 May 2026 · Universidad Catolica 2–3 Independiente del Valle (Liga Pro)
- 14 Dec 2025 · Universidad Catolica 0–1 Independiente del Valle (Liga Pro)
- 8 Nov 2025 · Independiente del Valle 0–2 Universidad Catolica (Liga Pro)
- 29 Jun 2025 · Universidad Catolica 0–3 Independiente del Valle (Liga Pro)
- 2 Mar 2025 · Independiente del Valle 1–1 Universidad Catolica (Liga Pro)