Leones del Norte
1–3
Emelec
Sun 18 Oct, 19:00
Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra
Guillermo Enrique Guerrero Alcivar, Ecuador
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
49%
Bookmakers 49%
Draw
29%
Bookmakers 30%
Away win
22%
Bookmakers 21%
Us 49%Bookmakers 49%
Edge -0.8 pts
Uncertainty ±2.2%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (-0.8%).
- Home win: 49% against a market price of 49% (-0.8%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 3 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsLeones del Norte
LDLDW
- 9 Oct · A v Libertad 0–3 (xG 1.03–2.12)
- 19 Sep · A v Guayaquil City FC 1–1
- 13 Sep · H v Tecnico Universitario 0–1
- 8 Sep · A v Mushuc Runa SC 1–1
- 3 Sep · H v Orense SC 1–0
Emelec
LLLWD
- 10 Oct · A v Guayaquil City FC 2–3 (xG 1.52–2.42)
- 20 Sep · H v Libertad 1–2
- 13 Sep · A v Macara 0–1
- 8 Sep · H v Manta FC 1–0 (xG 1.26–0.49)
- 4 Sep · A v Libertad 1–1 (xG 0.97–1.89)
Head-to-head
Leones del Norte 1 · draws 0 · Emelec 1, 2.5 goals a game
- 30 Aug 2026 · Emelec 2–1 Leones del Norte (Liga Pro)
- 3 May 2026 · Leones del Norte 2–0 Emelec (Liga Pro)