Libertad
4–0
Guayaquil City FC
Sat 17 Oct, 16:30
Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne
G. Gonzalez
Match result: no bet
WonHome win
49%
Bookmakers 51%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
23%
Bookmakers 22%
Us 49%Bookmakers 51%
Edge -1.3 pts
Uncertainty ±1.8%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (-1.3%).
- Home win: 49% against a market price of 51% (-1.3%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsLibertad
WWLWD
- 9 Oct · H v Leones del Norte 3–0 (xG 2.12–1.03)
- 20 Sep · A v Emelec 2–1
- 13 Sep · H v Independiente del Valle 2–3
- 7 Sep · A v Deportivo Cuenca 1–0
- 4 Sep · H v Emelec 1–1 (xG 1.89–0.97)
Guayaquil City FC
WDWLL
- 10 Oct · H v Emelec 3–2 (xG 2.42–1.52)
- 19 Sep · H v Leones del Norte 1–1
- 12 Sep · H v Mushuc Runa SC 3–1
- 8 Sep · A v Orense SC 3–4
- 2 Sep · A v Deportivo Cuenca 0–1
Head-to-head
Libertad 0 · draws 1 · Guayaquil City FC 1, 2.5 goals a game
- 15 Aug 2026 · Guayaquil City FC 2–2 Libertad (Liga Pro)
- 21 Apr 2026 · Libertad 0–1 Guayaquil City FC (Liga Pro)