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Emelec
19:00
Guayaquil City FC
Sun 25 Oct, 19:00 Estadio George Capwell
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.

Match result: no bet

Home win
49%
Bookmakers 55%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
23%
Bookmakers 18%
Us 49%Bookmakers 55% Edge -5.8 pts Uncertainty ±2.7%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 49% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

  • Home win: 49% against a market price of 55% (-5.8%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Emelec

WLLLW
  • 18 Oct · A v Leones del Norte 3–1 (xG 1.71–0.49)
  • 10 Oct · A v Guayaquil City FC 2–3 (xG 1.52–2.42)
  • 20 Sep · H v Libertad 1–2
  • 13 Sep · A v Macara 0–1
  • 8 Sep · H v Manta FC 1–0 (xG 1.26–0.49)

Guayaquil City FC

LWDWL
  • 17 Oct · A v Libertad 0–4 (xG 0.78–1.97)
  • 10 Oct · H v Emelec 3–2 (xG 2.42–1.52)
  • 19 Sep · H v Leones del Norte 1–1
  • 12 Sep · H v Mushuc Runa SC 3–1
  • 8 Sep · A v Orense SC 3–4

Head-to-head

Emelec 0 · draws 1 · Guayaquil City FC 2, 3.0 goals a game

  • 10 Oct 2026 · Guayaquil City FC 3–2 Emelec (Liga Pro)
  • 10 Aug 2026 · Guayaquil City FC 0–0 Emelec (Liga Pro)
  • 18 Apr 2026 · Emelec 1–3 Guayaquil City FC (Liga Pro)