Leones del Norte
4–1
Libertad
Sun 25 Oct, 16:30
Jaime Teran Olympic Stadium
Russell Macario Teran Leon
Match result: no bet
WonHome win
43%
Bookmakers 48%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 27%
Away win
29%
Bookmakers 25%
Us 43%Bookmakers 48%
Edge -4.9 pts
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 43% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 43% against a market price of 48% (-4.9%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 3 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsLeones del Norte
LLDLD
- 18 Oct · H v Emelec 1–3 (xG 0.49–1.71)
- 9 Oct · A v Libertad 0–3 (xG 1.03–2.12)
- 19 Sep · A v Guayaquil City FC 1–1
- 13 Sep · H v Tecnico Universitario 0–1
- 8 Sep · A v Mushuc Runa SC 1–1
Libertad
WWWLW
- 17 Oct · H v Guayaquil City FC 4–0 (xG 1.97–0.78)
- 9 Oct · H v Leones del Norte 3–0 (xG 2.12–1.03)
- 20 Sep · A v Emelec 2–1
- 13 Sep · H v Independiente del Valle 2–3
- 7 Sep · A v Deportivo Cuenca 1–0
Head-to-head
Leones del Norte 1 · draws 1 · Libertad 1, 3.0 goals a game
- 9 Oct 2026 · Libertad 3–0 Leones del Norte (Liga Pro)
- 4 Jul 2026 · Libertad 1–3 Leones del Norte (Liga Pro)
- 28 Feb 2026 · Leones del Norte 1–1 Libertad (Liga Pro)