Vasco DA Gama
1–3
Boca Juniors
Wed 21 Oct, 00:30
Estádio do Maracanã
Jesus Valenzuela
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
37%
Bookmakers 35%
Draw
31%
Bookmakers 31%
Away win
32%
Bookmakers 34%
Us 37%Bookmakers 35%
Edge +1.9 pts
Uncertainty ±1.6%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (+1.9%).
- Home win: 37% against a market price of 35% (+1.9%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsVasco DA Gama
LWDWW
- 18 Oct · A v Sao Paulo 0–1 (xG 0.92–1.26)
- 14 Oct · A v Boca Juniors 1–0 (xG 0.49–1.55)
- 10 Oct · H v Remo 0–0 (xG 0.84–0.25)
- 7 Oct · A v Botafogo 2–1 (xG 1.69–0.61)
- 19 Sep · H v Coritiba 5–0 (xG 4.02–0.22)
Boca Juniors
WLDWW
- 17 Oct · H v Talleres Cordoba 2–1 (xG 1.04–0.45)
- 14 Oct · H v Vasco DA Gama 0–1 (xG 1.55–0.49)
- 9 Oct · A v Instituto Cordoba 2–2 (xG 1.66–0.72)
- 3 Oct · H v Union Santa Fe 3–0
- 20 Sep · A v San Lorenzo 2–0 (xG 2.15–0.21)
Head-to-head
Vasco DA Gama 1 · draws 0 · Boca Juniors 0, 1.0 goals a game
- 14 Oct 2026 · Boca Juniors 0–1 Vasco DA Gama (CONMEBOL Sudamericana)