Palmeiras
0–1
Fluminense
Thu 22 Oct, 00:30
Nubank Parque
Esteban Ostojich
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
58%
Bookmakers 57%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 27%
Away win
16%
Bookmakers 16%
Us 58%Bookmakers 57%
Edge +0.6 pts
Uncertainty ±1.7%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (+0.6%).
- Home win: 58% against a market price of 57% (+0.6%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsPalmeiras
WWWWD
- 17 Oct · A v Atletico Paranaense 2–0 (xG 0.38–1.21)
- 15 Oct · A v Fluminense 2–1 (xG 1.19–0.52)
- 11 Oct · H v Corinthians 4–1 (xG 2.60–0.71)
- 9 Oct · H v Bahia 1–0 (xG 1.79–0.52)
- 20 Sep · A v Gremio 0–0 (xG 2.49–0.97)
Fluminense
LLLWW
- 18 Oct · H v Santos 1–2 (xG 0.99–2.26)
- 15 Oct · H v Palmeiras 1–2 (xG 0.52–1.19)
- 11 Oct · A v Flamengo 0–1 (xG 0.65–1.65)
- 9 Oct · H v Coritiba 4–0 (xG 1.77–1.54)
- 20 Sep · A v Corinthians 3–1 (xG 2.38–2.44)
Head-to-head
Palmeiras 3 · draws 1 · Fluminense 2, 2.5 goals a game
- 15 Oct 2026 · Fluminense 1–2 Palmeiras (CONMEBOL Libertadores)
- 15 Aug 2026 · Fluminense 3–2 Palmeiras (Serie A)
- 26 Feb 2026 · Palmeiras 2–1 Fluminense (Serie A)
- 23 Nov 2025 · Palmeiras 0–0 Fluminense (Serie A)
- 23 Jul 2025 · Fluminense 1–2 Palmeiras (Serie A)
- 8 Dec 2024 · Palmeiras 0–1 Fluminense (Serie A)