Fulham
19:45
Crystal Palace
Wed 28 Oct, 19:45
Craven Cottage
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 80%Books 80% Best odds 1.22 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
49%
Bookmakers 51%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
26%
Bookmakers 24%
Us 49%Bookmakers 51%
Edge -1.9 pts
Uncertainty ±1.7%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 49% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 49% against a market price of 51% (-1.9%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsFulham
WWLDW
- 24 Oct · A v Coventry 1–0 (xG 0.61–0.58)
- 17 Oct · H v Hull City 1–0 (xG 1.48–0.18)
- 10 Oct · A v Ipswich 1–2 (xG 1.81–1.15)
- 20 Sep · H v Manchester United 1–1 (xG 1.62–1.60)
- 15 Sep · A v West Ham 3–2
Crystal Palace
LDLLW
- 25 Oct · H v Newcastle 0–2 (xG 1.78–1.03)
- 22 Oct · A v Beşiktaş 2–2 (xG 0.46–0.73)
- 18 Oct · A v Brighton 0–5 (xG 0.77–2.02)
- 15 Oct · A v Lyon 2–3 (xG 1.62–2.12)
- 11 Oct · H v Nottingham Forest 3–1 (xG 2.41–3.34)
Head-to-head
Fulham 1 · draws 1 · Crystal Palace 4, 2.8 goals a game
- 5 Sep 2026 · Fulham 2–3 Crystal Palace (Premier League)
- 1 Jan 2026 · Crystal Palace 1–1 Fulham (Premier League)
- 7 Dec 2025 · Fulham 1–2 Crystal Palace (Premier League)
- 29 Mar 2025 · Fulham 0–3 Crystal Palace (FA Cup)
- 22 Feb 2025 · Fulham 0–2 Crystal Palace (Premier League)
- 9 Nov 2024 · Crystal Palace 0–2 Fulham (Premier League)