Sunderland
19:45
Brentford
Wed 28 Oct, 19:45
Stadium of Light
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
26%
Bookmakers 26%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
48%
Bookmakers 48%
Us 48%Bookmakers 48%
Edge +0.3 pts
Uncertainty ±1.5%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 48% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.3% alone is not enough).
- Away win: 48% against a market price of 48% (+0.3%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsSunderland
DDLWL
- 25 Oct · H v Leeds 0–0 (xG 0.91–0.81)
- 22 Oct · A v Lech Poznan 1–1 (xG 2.99–2.68)
- 18 Oct · A v Bournemouth 0–2 (xG 0.13–4.40)
- 15 Oct · A v Torreense 2–1 (xG 1.82–0.08)
- 10 Oct · H v Brighton 0–2 (xG 0.72–1.41)
Brentford
DLDWW
- 25 Oct · A v Hull City 1–1 (xG 1.87–1.92)
- 17 Oct · H v Liverpool 1–2 (xG 0.90–1.54)
- 10 Oct · A v Aston Villa 2–2 (xG 1.06–2.28)
- 18 Sep · H v Chelsea 3–0 (xG 2.65–0.83)
- 15 Sep · A v Reading 2–1
Head-to-head
Sunderland 1 · draws 1 · Brentford 1, 2.7 goals a game
- 5 Sep 2026 · Brentford 1–1 Sunderland (Premier League)
- 7 Jan 2026 · Brentford 3–0 Sunderland (Premier League)
- 30 Aug 2025 · Sunderland 2–1 Brentford (Premier League)