Sunderland
19:45
Brentford
Wed 28 Oct, 19:45
Stadium of Light
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 78%Books 78% Best odds 1.26 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
27%
Bookmakers 27%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
47%
Bookmakers 47%
Us 47%Bookmakers 47%
Edge -0.2 pts
Uncertainty ±1.6%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 47% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Away win: 47% against a market price of 47% (-0.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsSunderland
DDLWL
- 25 Oct · H v Leeds 0–0 (xG 0.91–0.81)
- 22 Oct · A v Lech Poznan 1–1 (xG 2.99–2.68)
- 18 Oct · A v Bournemouth 0–2 (xG 0.13–4.40)
- 15 Oct · A v Torreense 2–1 (xG 1.82–0.08)
- 10 Oct · H v Brighton 0–2 (xG 0.72–1.41)
Brentford
DLDWW
- 25 Oct · A v Hull City 1–1 (xG 1.87–1.92)
- 17 Oct · H v Liverpool 1–2 (xG 0.90–1.54)
- 10 Oct · A v Aston Villa 2–2 (xG 1.06–2.28)
- 18 Sep · H v Chelsea 3–0 (xG 2.65–0.83)
- 15 Sep · A v Reading 2–1
Head-to-head
Sunderland 1 · draws 1 · Brentford 1, 2.7 goals a game
- 5 Sep 2026 · Brentford 1–1 Sunderland (Premier League)
- 7 Jan 2026 · Brentford 3–0 Sunderland (Premier League)
- 30 Aug 2025 · Sunderland 2–1 Brentford (Premier League)