Al Ain
14:10
Ajman
Thu 29 Oct, 14:10
Tahnoun Bin Mohamed Stadium
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 87%Books 87% Best odds 1.14 (Pinnacle)
Most likely: Home win
Home win
77%
Bookmakers 76%
Draw
14%
Bookmakers 15%
Away win
9%
Bookmakers 9%
Us 77%Bookmakers 76%
Edge +0.9 pts
Uncertainty ±0.8%
Most likely home win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.
- Home win: 77% against a market price of 76% (+0.9%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsAl Ain
WLWWD
- 26 Oct · H v Tractor Sazi 2–1 (xG 1.34–0.47)
- 17 Oct · A v Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 0–2 (xG 2.81–3.08)
- 12 Oct · A v Al Quwa Al Jawiya 4–1 (xG 2.40–1.68)
- 15 Sep · H v Al-Nassr 4–0 (xG 2.05–1.28)
- 10 Sep · H v Al-Wasl FC 2–2
Ajman
LLWLW
- 18 Oct · H v Sharjah FC 1–3 (xG 1.17–0.90)
- 11 Sep · H v Al-Ittihad Kalba 2–3
- 6 Sep · A v Al Nasr 2–1
- 29 Aug · A v Al-Jazira 0–3
- 22 Aug · H v Hatta SC 4–3
Head-to-head
Al Ain 2 · draws 1 · Ajman 1, 2.8 goals a game
- 5 Apr 2026 · Al Ain 2–0 Ajman (Pro League)
- 30 Oct 2025 · Ajman 0–3 Al Ain (Pro League)
- 19 May 2025 · Al Ain 0–0 Ajman (Pro League)
- 15 Jan 2025 · Ajman 4–2 Al Ain (Pro League)