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Juventud
0–0
Penarol
Fri 23 Oct, 23:00 Estadio Centenario Andrés Matías Matonte Cabrera

Match result: no bet

Lost
Home win
28%
Bookmakers 23%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 27%
Away win
45%
Bookmakers 49%
Us 45%Bookmakers 49% Edge -4.6 pts Uncertainty ±2.0%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 45% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

  • Away win: 45% against a market price of 49% (-4.6%).

The full reasoning, 17 more markets and 2 versions of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Juventud

LWDDW
  • 17 Oct · A v Progreso 0–2
  • 11 Oct · H v Racing Montevideo 2–0
  • 4 Oct · A v Boston River 0–0
  • 27 Sep · H v Cerro 0–0
  • 20 Sep · A v Albion FC 3–1

Penarol

LDWDW
  • 18 Oct · A v Liverpool Montevideo 0–1
  • 10 Oct · H v Progreso 1–1
  • 4 Oct · A v Racing Montevideo 1–0
  • 30 Sep · A v Atletico Torque 1–1
  • 26 Sep · H v Boston River 2–1

Head-to-head

Juventud 0 · draws 1 · Penarol 1, 3.0 goals a game

  • 20 Apr 2026 · Penarol 2–2 Juventud (Primera División)
  • 27 Mar 2025 · Juventud 0–2 Penarol (Primera División)