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Likely slip

Version 1, published Fri 01:14, scheduled
Active (may still change)

Not a value bet. This slip is built to land: its legs are results we and the bookmakers both rate likely, so the odds pay a little less than the risk is worth. It wins more often than our value slips; staked again and again it does not beat the bookmaker.


Bookmaker pays
4.33
Our fair odds
5.16
Chance all win
19.39%
Likely range
18.55%–20.27%
At least 9 of 10 win
54.0%
Market implies
20.91%
Value at the price
-16%
If every leg is 2 pts worse
-34%
Margin of safety
+0.0 pts

Expect it to land about 1 in 5.2 times. It locks in 1 day, 1 hour.

The 10 legs

10 matches, the selection and price for each, and why each made the slip

Every leg is also sealed in the public ledger and revealed at kickoff.

Join free to see the legs