Long shot slip
Version 3, published Tue 04:10, scheduled
Replaced by v4 — Burton Albion v Bradford: replaced by a stronger leg; AFC Wimbledon v Mansfield Town: replaced by a stronger leg; Crawley Town v Shrewsbury Home win re-tagged Value → Upset Watch (kept: still eligible)
- Bookmaker pays
- 23.28
- Our fair odds
- 17.51
- Chance all win
- 5.71%
- Likely range
- 5.22%–6.25%
- At least 2 of 3 win
- 34.8%
- Market implies
- 3.75%
- Value at the price
- +33%
- If every leg is 2 pts worse
- +12%
- Margin of safety
- +3.3 pts
Expect it to land about 1 in 18 times.
The 3 legs
3 matches, the selection and price for each, and why each made the slip
Every leg is also sealed in the public ledger and revealed at kickoff.
Join free to see the legs