Wed 19 Aug — Trosbet

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Wed 19 Aug

0 matches with enough data
11 of 20 settled picks won, closing-line value +0.0%

Wednesday 19 August All matches

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Eerste Divisie, Fri 18:00

Home winUpset Watch 24%

Home win: 24% against a market price of 16% (+7.6%).
Expected goals Helmond Sport 1.58 – 1.54 NAC Breda.
Simulated 10,000 times, the model alone says 40% (uncertainty ±6.6%), so it carries 38% of the weight and the de-vigged market price carries the rest.
Home advantage in this league (+24% goals at home) adds 2.9 pts to home win.

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