Tue 15 Dec — Trosbet

Today's board

Tue 15 Dec

0 matches with enough data
11 of 20 settled picks won, closing-line value +0.0%

Tuesday 15 December All matches

Filter by tag, league, edge and chance, and star matches to follow: join free

No predicted matches on this day. We only predict leagues with enough data; see which.

Fully open to everyone

Eerste Divisie, Fri 18:00

Home winUpset Watch 24%

Home win: 24% against a market price of 16% (+7.6%).
Expected goals Helmond Sport 1.58 – 1.54 NAC Breda.
Simulated 10,000 times, the model alone says 40% (uncertainty ±6.6%), so it carries 38% of the weight and the de-vigged market price carries the rest.
Home advantage in this league (+24% goals at home) adds 2.9 pts to home win.

Every market for this match