About Trosbet

Trosbet publishes statistical football predictions with the reasons behind them. We are not a bookmaker: we never take bets, hold your money or sell "sure" or "fixed" matches.

How we predict

For every match in the leagues we cover, a model simulates the game thousands of times from team strength, recent form and expected goals (xG), Elo ratings, head-to-head, rest, referees, team news and the bookmakers' prices. That gives our chance for each outcome and market. We compare it with the price and say plainly whether a pick beats the odds, agrees with the bookmakers, or is not worth a bet. How it works in detail.

Proof, not promises

Every pick and slip is sealed in our public ledger the moment it is published, before kickoff, and can never be edited afterwards, not even by us. After full time each one is graded, wins and losses alike, on the track record. In the last 30 days, picks we rated 70% or more won 77% of the time (we said 77%).

How the site stays free

Daily picks, reasons and the ready-made slips are free. The site is paid for by a few non-intrusive ads, by members who choose to support it as patrons, and by bookmaker links that may pay us a referral fee. None of these ever changes a pick: picks come from the model and are sealed before anyone sees them.

Play safe

Predictions are chances, not certainties: even a 70% pick loses three times in ten. Only stake what you can afford to lose, never chase losses, and take a break when it stops being fun. 18+ only. Responsible gambling and where to get help.

Contact

Contact us with questions, corrections or partnership enquiries.