Helmond Sport v NAC Breda
Eerste Divisie, Fri 18:00
Home winUpset Watch
26%
- Home win: 26% against a market price of 17% (+9.2%).
- Expected goals Helmond Sport 1.71 – 1.65 NAC Breda.
- Simulated 10,000 times, the model alone says 41% (uncertainty ±6.4%), so it carries 44% of the weight and the de-vigged market price carries the rest.
- Home advantage in this league (+26% goals at home) adds 3.6 pts to home win.
Every market for this match