Fri 1 Jan — Trosbet

Today's board

Fri 1 Jan

0 matches with enough data
42 of 89 settled picks won, closing-line value +0.1%

Friday 1 January All matches

Filter by tag, league, edge and chance, and star matches to follow: join free

No predicted matches on this day. We only predict leagues with enough data; see which.

Fully open to everyone

Premier Division, Sat 18:45

Home winUpset Watch 28%

Home win: 28% against a market price of 22% (+5.8%).
Expected goals Sligo Rovers 1.64 – 1.52 Dundalk.
Simulated 10,000 times, the model alone says 40% (uncertainty ±6.4%), so it carries 36% of the weight and the de-vigged market price carries the rest.
Home advantage in this league (+23% goals at home) adds 2.7 pts to home win.

Every market for this match