Mon 11 Jan — Trosbet

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Mon 11 Jan

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159 of 325 settled picks won, closing-line value +0.0%

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K League 1, Sun 07:30

Away winUpset Watch 22%

Away win: 22% against a market price of 16% (+6.1%).
Expected goals FC Seoul 1.13 – 1.00 Gimcheon Sangmu FC.
Simulated 10,000 times, the model alone says 31% (uncertainty ±4.5%), so it carries 43% of the weight and the de-vigged market price carries the rest.
Rest days (FC Seoul 4, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 8) adds 1.3 pts to away win.

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