Check any pick we ever made

Every pick and slip is written into a hash chain the moment it is published. Change one old entry and every hash after it breaks, so nobody, including us, can quietly edit history.

Entry #304: pick published

Hash verified

Espanyol v Atletico Madrid: Away win 53% @ 1.74 (Avoid)

Written: 2026-10-17T00:01:35.178643+00:00 (UTC, exactly as hashed)
Previous hash: b8564a20f7919dbfcd94d91150be2e1a5e403a1e6074c62ce2d273a9add10d99
Stored hash: a6a2fcbf9cb3d1c118551be24facae536a22a672514aa7597cb1c0bc186b9f9c
Recomputed: a6a2fcbf9cb3d1c118551be24facae536a22a672514aa7597cb1c0bc186b9f9c

Content, exactly as hashed

{
  "away": "Atletico Madrid",
  "bookmakers": 6,
  "edge": -0.029,
  "explanation": "Away win: 53% against a market price of 56% (-2.9%).\nExpected goals Espanyol 1.22 – 1.48 Atletico Madrid.\nSimulated 10,000 times, the model alone says 43% (uncertainty ±7.6%), so it carries 23% of the weight and the de-vigged market price carries the rest.\nAtletico Madrid's attack (1.31× the league rate) adds 2.2 pts to away win.\nHome advantage in this league (+35% goals at home) takes 1.7 pts from away win.\nAtletico Madrid's defence (0.89× the league rate against) adds 0.7 pts to away win.\nEspanyol's attack (0.91× the league rate) adds 0.6 pts to away win.\nTagged Avoid: no edge over the market price (-2.9%).",
  "fixture": 1570416,
  "home": "Espanyol",
  "kickoff": "2026-10-17T12:00:00+00:00",
  "league": "La Liga",
  "league_api_id": 140,
  "market": "1X2",
  "market_probability": 0.5578,
  "model": "unified-sim v1 (sim-140-v2)",
  "odds_taken": "1.74",
  "prediction_version": 1,
  "probability": 0.5289,
  "season": 2026,
  "selection": "away",
  "tag": "avoid",
  "tag_reason": "no edge over the market price (-2.9%)",
  "trigger": "scheduled",
  "type": "pick"
}

#303 #305

Latest entries

1560 in total