Start vs Lillestrom prediction

16:00

Sun 1 Nov, 16:00

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 83%Books 83% Best odds 1.18 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

36%

Bookmakers 34%

Draw

25%

Bookmakers 25%

Away win

39%

Bookmakers 40%

Us 39%Bookmakers 40% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.6%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 39% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

Away win: 39% against a market price of 40% (-0.9%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Start vs Lillestrom preview

Start host Lillestrom in the Eliteserien on Sunday 1 November at 16:00.

Our model gives Start 36%, the draw 25% and Lillestrom 39%; the bookmakers' prices said 34%, 25% and 40%.

Start have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 13 conceded).

Lillestrom have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (8 scored, 11 conceded).

In their last 1 meeting Start won 0, Lillestrom won 1 and 0 were drawn, with 4.0 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 83%.

More Eliteserien predictions

All Eliteserien matches

Fri 30 Oct, 18:00 Bodo/Glimt vs Viking Bodo/Glimt win 55% @ 1.74
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg Rosenborg win 50% @ 1.86
Sat 31 Oct, 17:00 Aalesund vs Sandefjord Aalesund win 47% @ 2.03
Sun 1 Nov, 13:30 Brann vs Molde Molde win 41% @ 2.23
Sun 1 Nov, 16:00 Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK Sarpsborg 08 FF win 63% @ 1.53
Sun 1 Nov, 16:00 KFUM Oslo vs Ham-Kam KFUM Oslo win 49% @ 2.03

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Start

WLLLW

25 Oct · H v Sandefjord 1–0 (xG 1.19–1.49)
18 Oct · A v Molde 1–6 (xG 1.76–3.71)
11 Oct · H v Ham-Kam 2–4 (xG 2.00–2.88)
20 Sep · A v Sandefjord 0–3 (xG 0.23–2.24)
13 Sep · H v Brann 2–0 (xG 2.22–1.15)

Lillestrom

WLWDD

25 Oct · H v Brann 3–2 (xG 2.55–1.48)
22 Oct · H v Real Sociedad 0–6 (xG 1.90–2.25)
18 Oct · A v Sandefjord 2–0 (xG 0.53–1.39)
15 Oct · A v Sparta Praha 1–1 (xG 0.84–1.12)
11 Oct · H v Molde 2–2 (xG 1.63–2.95)

Head-to-head

Start 0 · draws 0 · Lillestrom 1, 4.0 goals a game

11 Apr 2026 · Lillestrom 3–1 Start (Eliteserien)