O'Higgins vs Nublense prediction
Sat 31 Oct, 23:00
Estadio El Teniente
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUs 77%Books 75% Best odds 1.30 (Pinnacle)
Match result: no bet
Home win
46%
Bookmakers 46%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
27%
Bookmakers 25%
Us 46%Bookmakers 46%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±2.0%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 46% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 46% against a market price of 46% (-0.6%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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O'Higgins vs Nublense preview
O'Higgins host Nublense in the Primera División on Saturday 31 October at 23:00 at Estadio El Teniente.
Our model gives O'Higgins 46%, the draw 27% and Nublense 27%; the bookmakers' prices said 46%, 28% and 25%.
O'Higgins have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 8 conceded).
Nublense have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 5 (4 scored, 14 conceded).
In their last 5 meetings O'Higgins won 3, Nublense won 1 and 1 was drawn, with 3.4 goals a game.
Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 77%.
More Primera División predictions
All Primera División matches- Fri 30 Oct, 22:00 Colo Colo vs Universidad de Concepcion Colo Colo win 73% @ 1.31
- Fri 30 Oct, 22:00 Coquimbo Unido vs Union La Calera Coquimbo Unido win 58% @ 1.65
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsO'Higgins
DLLWL
- 24 Oct · H v Cobresal 1–1 (xG 1.71–1.03)
- 10 Oct · A v Huachipato 0–2 (xG 0.82–1.14)
- 13 Sep · A v A. Italiano 0–1
- 6 Sep · H v Union La Calera 2–1
- 1 Sep · A v U. Catolica 2–3 (xG 1.39–2.02)
Nublense
WLLLL
- 25 Oct · H v Coquimbo Unido 2–1 (xG 1.65–0.73)
- 12 Oct · A v Universidad de Chile 0–6 (xG 0.56–2.69)
- 12 Sep · H v Everton de Vina 1–3
- 6 Sep · A v D. La Serena 1–2
- 3 Sep · A v Deportes Limache 0–2
Head-to-head
O'Higgins 3 · draws 1 · Nublense 1, 3.4 goals a game
- 25 Apr 2026 · Nublense 0–2 O'Higgins (Primera División)
- 8 Nov 2025 · O'Higgins 4–2 Nublense (Primera División)
- 25 May 2025 · Nublense 0–1 O'Higgins (Primera División)
- 19 Oct 2024 · O'Higgins 1–3 Nublense (Primera División)
- 19 May 2024 · Nublense 2–2 O'Higgins (Primera División)