Criciuma vs Ponte Preta prediction
Fri 30 Oct, 22:30
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Match resultHome winUs 89%Books 91% Best odds 1.08 (William Hill)
Most likely: Home win
Home win
89%
Bookmakers 91%
Draw
8%
Bookmakers 7%
Away win
3%
Bookmakers 2%
Us 89%Bookmakers 91%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±1.1%
Most likely home win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.
- Home win: 89% against a market price of 91% (-1.9%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Criciuma vs Ponte Preta preview
Criciuma host Ponte Preta in the Serie B on Friday 30 October at 22:30.
Our model gives Criciuma 89%, the draw 8% and Ponte Preta 3%; the bookmakers' prices said 91%, 7% and 2%.
Criciuma have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 3 conceded).
Ponte Preta have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (4 scored, 12 conceded).
In their last 1 meeting Criciuma won 1, Ponte Preta won 0 and 0 were drawn, with 3.0 goals a game.
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsCriciuma
LWWLW
- 24 Oct · A v Sport Recife 1–2 (xG 1.56–1.51)
- 18 Oct · A v São Bernardo 1–0 (xG 0.78–0.42)
- 12 Oct · H v America Mineiro 1–0 (xG 1.47–0.15)
- 8 Oct · A v Ceara 0–1 (xG 0.56–0.77)
- 2 Oct · A v Londrina 2–0 (xG 1.08–0.89)
Ponte Preta
DDLLL
- 24 Oct · H v Fortaleza EC 2–2 (xG 0.89–1.94)
- 16 Oct · H v Atletico Goianiense 1–1 (xG 1.17–2.26)
- 12 Oct · A v Novorizontino 1–5 (xG 1.40–1.68)
- 7 Oct · H v Juventude 0–2
- 3 Oct · A v Cuiaba 0–2 (xG 0.06–2.45)
Head-to-head
Criciuma 1 · draws 0 · Ponte Preta 0, 3.0 goals a game
- 8 Jul 2026 · Ponte Preta 1–2 Criciuma (Serie B)