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NK Slaven Belupo vs Istra 1961 prediction

NK Slaven Belupo
17:00
Istra 1961
Fri 30 Oct, 17:00 Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 82%Books 83% Best odds 1.20 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win
41%
Bookmakers 43%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 24%
Away win
34%
Bookmakers 33%
Us 41%Bookmakers 43% Odds too short Uncertainty ±2.1%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 41% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

  • Home win: 41% against a market price of 43% (-2.4%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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NK Slaven Belupo vs Istra 1961 preview

NK Slaven Belupo host Istra 1961 in the HNL on Friday 30 October at 17:00 at Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas.

Our model gives NK Slaven Belupo 41%, the draw 25% and Istra 1961 34%; the bookmakers' prices said 43%, 24% and 33%.

NK Slaven Belupo have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (9 scored, 10 conceded).

Istra 1961 have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (8 scored, 8 conceded).

In their last 6 meetings NK Slaven Belupo won 2, Istra 1961 won 2 and 2 were drawn, with 2.5 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 82%.

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

NK Slaven Belupo

WLWDL
  • 24 Oct · A v NK Varazdin 2–1 (xG 0.62–1.54)
  • 18 Oct · H v Dinamo Zagreb 1–5 (xG 2.19–3.78)
  • 11 Oct · H v HNK Rijeka 4–1 (xG 1.81–2.12)
  • 18 Sep · A v Rudes 2–2 (xG 1.99–0.48)
  • 13 Sep · A v HNK Hajduk Split 0–1 (xG 0.36–0.68)

Istra 1961

DLWLW
  • 26 Oct · H v HNK Hajduk Split 2–2 (xG 1.59–1.48)
  • 17 Oct · A v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0–2 (xG 0.58–1.49)
  • 10 Oct · A v NK Osijek 3–1 (xG 2.58–0.73)
  • 19 Sep · H v HNK Gorica 0–1 (xG 1.21–0.61)
  • 13 Sep · H v Rudes 3–2 (xG 1.87–0.84)

Head-to-head

NK Slaven Belupo 2 · draws 2 · Istra 1961 2, 2.5 goals a game

  • 15 Aug 2026 · Istra 1961 3–0 NK Slaven Belupo (HNL)
  • 4 May 2026 · Istra 1961 3–1 NK Slaven Belupo (HNL)
  • 27 Feb 2026 · NK Slaven Belupo 1–0 Istra 1961 (HNL)
  • 29 Nov 2025 · Istra 1961 1–1 NK Slaven Belupo (HNL)
  • 12 Sep 2025 · NK Slaven Belupo 2–1 Istra 1961 (HNL)
  • 28 Apr 2025 · Istra 1961 1–1 NK Slaven Belupo (HNL)