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Brondby vs Aarhus prediction

17:00
Sun 1 Nov, 17:00
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 84%Books 84% Best odds 1.18 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win
42%
Bookmakers 44%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
33%
Bookmakers 31%
Us 42%Bookmakers 44% Odds too short Uncertainty ±1.7%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 42% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

  • Home win: 42% against a market price of 44% (-2.5%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Brondby vs Aarhus preview

Brondby host Aarhus in the Superliga on Sunday 1 November at 17:00.

Our model gives Brondby 42%, the draw 25% and Aarhus 33%; the bookmakers' prices said 44%, 25% and 31%.

Brondby have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (10 scored, 10 conceded).

Aarhus have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (7 scored, 4 conceded).

In their last 6 meetings Brondby won 1, Aarhus won 2 and 3 were drawn, with 2.7 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 84%.

More Superliga predictions

All Superliga matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Brondby

WLWLL
  • 23 Oct · A v Randers FC 3–1 (xG 3.56–2.11)
  • 18 Oct · A v Odense 1–2 (xG 2.58–0.78)
  • 11 Oct · H v Lyngby 5–2 (xG 2.38–0.77)
  • 20 Sep · H v FC Copenhagen 0–1 (xG 0.71–2.27)
  • 14 Sep · A v FC Midtjylland 1–4 (xG 0.80–1.16)

Aarhus

WDDLW
  • 25 Oct · H v Viborg 2–1 (xG 2.29–0.78)
  • 22 Oct · H v Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1–1 (xG 1.03–0.79)
  • 18 Oct · A v FC Copenhagen 1–1 (xG 0.88–2.07)
  • 15 Oct · A v Gent 0–1 (xG 0.23–2.24)
  • 12 Oct · H v Sonderjyske 3–0 (xG 1.47–1.56)

Head-to-head

Brondby 1 · draws 3 · Aarhus 2, 2.7 goals a game

  • 25 Jul 2026 · Aarhus 1–1 Brondby (Superliga)
  • 10 May 2026 · Brondby 0–2 Aarhus (Superliga)
  • 22 Mar 2026 · Aarhus 0–0 Brondby (Superliga)
  • 19 Oct 2025 · Brondby 3–3 Aarhus (Superliga)
  • 21 Sep 2025 · Aarhus 1–0 Brondby (Superliga)
  • 25 May 2025 · Aarhus 2–3 Brondby (Superliga)