Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv prediction

17:30

Fri 30 Oct, 17:30 Stadion Lokomotiv

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 76%Books 79% Best odds 1.24 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

35%

Bookmakers 35%

Draw

28%

Bookmakers 27%

Away win

37%

Bookmakers 38%

Us 37%Bookmakers 38% Fair price Uncertainty ±1.8%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 37% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

Away win: 37% against a market price of 38% (-0.4%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv preview

Lokomotiv Sofia host Botev Plovdiv in the First League on Friday 30 October at 17:30 at Stadion Lokomotiv.

Our model gives Lokomotiv Sofia 35%, the draw 28% and Botev Plovdiv 37%; the bookmakers' prices said 35%, 27% and 38%.

Lokomotiv Sofia have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (5 scored, 6 conceded).

Botev Plovdiv have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (9 scored, 6 conceded).

In their last 5 meetings Lokomotiv Sofia won 2, Botev Plovdiv won 1 and 2 were drawn, with 2.4 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 76%.

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Fri 30 Oct, 15:00 CSKA 1948 vs Spartak Varna CSKA 1948 win 67% @ 1.44

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Lokomotiv Sofia

DDWLD

24 Oct · H v Botev Vratsa 1–1
10 Oct · H v Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–1
20 Sep · A v Spartak Varna 1–0
16 Sep · H v CSKA Sofia 0–2
11 Sep · A v Cherno More Varna 2–2

Botev Plovdiv

LWWWW

23 Oct · A v CSKA 1948 0–4
10 Oct · H v Slavia Sofia 1–0
19 Sep · A v Septemvri Sofia 3–0
13 Sep · H v Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2–0
4 Sep · A v Arda Kardzhali 3–2

Head-to-head

Lokomotiv Sofia 2 · draws 2 · Botev Plovdiv 1, 2.4 goals a game

21 Jul 2026 · Botev Plovdiv 1–1 Lokomotiv Sofia (First League)
6 Dec 2025 · Lokomotiv Sofia 3–2 Botev Plovdiv (First League)
10 Aug 2025 · Botev Plovdiv 0–1 Lokomotiv Sofia (First League)
18 Apr 2025 · Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 Botev Plovdiv (First League)
8 Nov 2024 · Botev Plovdiv 2–0 Lokomotiv Sofia (First League)