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Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa prediction

Sat 31 Oct, 18:00 Bloomfield Stadium
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 83%Books 83% Best odds 1.18 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win
45%
Bookmakers 48%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 24%
Away win
30%
Bookmakers 28%
Us 45%Bookmakers 48% Odds too short Uncertainty ±1.8%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 45% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

  • Home win: 45% against a market price of 48% (-2.2%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa preview

Hapoel Tel Aviv host Maccabi Haifa in the Ligat Ha'al on Saturday 31 October at 18:00 at Bloomfield Stadium.

Our model gives Hapoel Tel Aviv 45%, the draw 24% and Maccabi Haifa 30%; the bookmakers' prices said 48%, 24% and 28%.

Hapoel Tel Aviv have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (11 scored, 5 conceded).

Maccabi Haifa have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (15 scored, 9 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings Hapoel Tel Aviv won 2, Maccabi Haifa won 2 and 0 were drawn, with 3.5 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 83%.

More Ligat Ha'al predictions

All Ligat Ha'al matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Hapoel Tel Aviv

WWWWL
  • 24 Oct · A v Hapoel Katamon 3–0 (xG 1.18–0.38)
  • 17 Oct · H v Ironi Tiberias 1–0 (xG 1.49–1.01)
  • 10 Oct · A v Ironi Kiryat Shmona 3–1 (xG 2.02–1.80)
  • 18 Sep · H v Hapoel Petah Tikva 3–0
  • 14 Sep · A v Maccabi Tel Aviv 1–4

Maccabi Haifa

LWWWW
  • 26 Oct · H v Hapoel Beer Sheva 2–5 (xG 2.79–1.69)
  • 17 Oct · A v Maccabi Petah Tikva 2–1 (xG 1.18–0.66)
  • 12 Oct · A v Hapoel Katamon 4–1 (xG 3.42–1.23)
  • 19 Sep · H v Ironi Tiberias 3–2
  • 14 Sep · A v Ironi Kiryat Shmona 4–0

Head-to-head

Hapoel Tel Aviv 2 · draws 0 · Maccabi Haifa 2, 3.5 goals a game

  • 19 May 2026 · Maccabi Haifa 4–1 Hapoel Tel Aviv (Ligat Ha'al)
  • 29 Apr 2026 · Hapoel Tel Aviv 4–0 Maccabi Haifa (Ligat Ha'al)
  • 6 Apr 2026 · Hapoel Tel Aviv 2–0 Maccabi Haifa (Ligat Ha'al)
  • 2 Dec 2025 · Maccabi Haifa 2–1 Hapoel Tel Aviv (Ligat Ha'al)