AS Eupen vs Excelsior Virton prediction
Sun 1 Nov, 18:15
Kehrwegstadion
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 81%Books 82% Best odds 1.19 (Pinnacle)
Match result: no bet
Home win
53%
Bookmakers 57%
Draw
23%
Bookmakers 22%
Away win
23%
Bookmakers 21%
Us 53%Bookmakers 57%
Odds too short
Uncertainty ±2.3%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 53% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 53% against a market price of 57% (-3.7%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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AS Eupen vs Excelsior Virton preview
AS Eupen host Excelsior Virton in the Challenger Pro League on Sunday 1 November at 18:15 at Kehrwegstadion.
Our model gives AS Eupen 53%, the draw 23% and Excelsior Virton 23%; the bookmakers' prices said 57%, 22% and 21%.
AS Eupen have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (9 scored, 4 conceded).
Excelsior Virton have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (8 scored, 9 conceded).
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 81%.
More Challenger Pro League predictions
All Challenger Pro League matches- Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 Seraing United vs Liège Seraing United win 43% @ 2.35
- Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K. KAA Gent II win 39% @ 2.43
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Beerschot VA vs Francs Borains Beerschot VA win 59% @ 1.62
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Patro Eisden vs Lokeren-Temse Patro Eisden win 39% @ 2.49
- Sat 31 Oct, 19:00 Club Brugge II vs Sporting Hasselt Sporting Hasselt win 41% @ 2.29
- Sun 1 Nov, 15:00 Dender vs KRC Genk II Dender win 65% @ 1.47
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsAS Eupen
LWWWW
- 25 Oct · H v Beerschot VA 1–2 (xG 2.19–1.32)
- 9 Oct · A v RSC Anderlecht II 2–0 (xG 2.10–0.45)
- 19 Sep · H v Liège 3–1
- 13 Sep · A v Patro Eisden 2–1
- 5 Sep · A v Club Brugge II 1–0
Excelsior Virton
LLDWL
- 24 Oct · A v Seraing United 1–3 (xG 0.78–0.92)
- 10 Oct · H v Sporting Hasselt 3–4 (xG 3.33–3.15)
- 20 Sep · A v Lokeren-Temse 1–1
- 12 Sep · H v KRC Genk II 3–0
- 30 Aug · H v Francs Borains 0–1
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.