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Ferencvarosi TC vs Paks prediction

Sun 1 Nov, 15:00 Groupama Arena
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 88%Books 90% Best odds 1.09 (Betano)

Most likely: Home win

Home win
63%
Bookmakers 62%
Draw
19%
Bookmakers 19%
Away win
18%
Bookmakers 19%
Us 63%Bookmakers 62% Fair price Uncertainty ±1.5%

Most likely home win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.

  • Home win: 63% against a market price of 62% (+0.5%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick

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Ferencvarosi TC vs Paks preview

Ferencvarosi TC host Paks in the NB I on Sunday 1 November at 15:00 at Groupama Arena.

Our model gives Ferencvarosi TC 63%, the draw 19% and Paks 18%; the bookmakers' prices said 62%, 19% and 19%.

Ferencvarosi TC have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 (13 scored, 4 conceded).

Paks have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (9 scored, 6 conceded).

In their last 6 meetings Ferencvarosi TC won 3, Paks won 2 and 1 was drawn, with 3.3 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 88%.

More NB I predictions

All NB I matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Ferencvarosi TC

WWDWD
  • 25 Oct · H v MTK Budapest 5–0 (xG 3.21–0.30)
  • 22 Oct · H v Torreense 4–1 (xG 2.11–0.79)
  • 18 Oct · A v Kisvarda FC 1–1 (xG 2.25–0.93)
  • 15 Oct · H v Plzen 2–1 (xG 2.38–1.99)
  • 10 Oct · H v Debreceni VSC 1–1 (xG 1.63–1.58)

Paks

WLWWL
  • 25 Oct · A v Vasas 2–0 (xG 1.10–0.73)
  • 17 Oct · H v Gyori ETO FC 1–2 (xG 1.58–2.01)
  • 10 Oct · H v MTK Budapest 3–0 (xG 2.38–0.51)
  • 19 Sep · A v Kisvarda FC 1–0
  • 5 Sep · H v Debreceni VSC 2–4

Head-to-head

Ferencvarosi TC 3 · draws 1 · Paks 2, 3.3 goals a game

  • 26 Jul 2026 · Paks 4–2 Ferencvarosi TC (NB I)
  • 26 Apr 2026 · Ferencvarosi TC 2–0 Paks (NB I)
  • 1 Feb 2026 · Paks 0–1 Ferencvarosi TC (NB I)
  • 5 Oct 2025 · Ferencvarosi TC 2–2 Paks (NB I)
  • 10 May 2025 · Paks 2–3 Ferencvarosi TC (NB I)
  • 16 Feb 2025 · Ferencvarosi TC 0–2 Paks (NB I)