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Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg prediction

Grazer AK
18:30
TSV Hartberg
Fri 30 Oct, 18:30 Merkur-Arena
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 77%Books 77% Best odds 1.28 (Pinnacle)

Match result: no bet

Home win
43%
Bookmakers 45%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 27%
Away win
30%
Bookmakers 28%
Us 43%Bookmakers 45% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.1%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 43% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

  • Home win: 43% against a market price of 45% (-1.2%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg preview

Grazer AK host TSV Hartberg in the Bundesliga on Friday 30 October at 18:30 at Merkur-Arena.

Our model gives Grazer AK 43%, the draw 27% and TSV Hartberg 30%; the bookmakers' prices said 45%, 27% and 28%.

Grazer AK have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (6 scored, 10 conceded).

TSV Hartberg have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (11 scored, 11 conceded).

In their last 6 meetings Grazer AK won 0, TSV Hartberg won 3 and 3 were drawn, with 1.8 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 77%.

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Grazer AK

DLDDW
  • 24 Oct · A v WSG Wattens 1–1 (xG 2.29–0.83)
  • 18 Oct · A v Sturm Graz 1–6 (xG 0.61–3.63)
  • 10 Oct · H v Red Bull Salzburg 0–0 (xG 1.59–1.18)
  • 19 Sep · H v Austria Vienna 2–2 (xG 0.80–0.83)
  • 12 Sep · A v SCR Altach 2–1 (xG 0.38–1.07)

TSV Hartberg

WLWDD
  • 24 Oct · H v Wolfsberger AC 1–0 (xG 1.77–0.52)
  • 16 Oct · A v Rapid Vienna 1–3 (xG 0.99–1.48)
  • 11 Oct · H v Austria Lustenau 4–3 (xG 4.01–1.45)
  • 20 Sep · H v Lask Linz 3–3 (xG 0.66–1.90)
  • 13 Sep · A v WSG Wattens 2–2 (xG 0.80–1.49)

Head-to-head

Grazer AK 0 · draws 3 · TSV Hartberg 3, 1.8 goals a game

  • 21 Feb 2026 · TSV Hartberg 1–0 Grazer AK (Bundesliga)
  • 18 Oct 2025 · Grazer AK 0–0 TSV Hartberg (Bundesliga)
  • 25 Apr 2025 · TSV Hartberg 1–1 Grazer AK (Bundesliga)
  • 22 Apr 2025 · Grazer AK 0–3 TSV Hartberg (Bundesliga)
  • 8 Dec 2024 · Grazer AK 0–3 TSV Hartberg (Bundesliga)
  • 31 Aug 2024 · TSV Hartberg 1–1 Grazer AK (Bundesliga)