Birmingham
4–0
Preston
Tue 13 Oct, 19:00
St. Andrew's Stadium
Sam Allison, England
Match result: no bet
WonHome win
59%
Bookmakers 60%
Draw
23%
Bookmakers 23%
Away win
18%
Bookmakers 17%
Us 59%Bookmakers 60%
Edge -1.8 pts
Uncertainty ±1.7%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (-1.8%).
- Home win: 59% against a market price of 60% (-1.8%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsBirmingham
WDWLD
- 10 Oct · A v West Brom 1–0 (xG 2.60–1.13)
- 19 Sep · H v Middlesbrough 2–2 (xG 1.23–2.14)
- 12 Sep · A v Derby 2–1 (xG 3.17–1.11)
- 9 Sep · A v Norwich 1–2 (xG 1.63–1.01)
- 6 Sep · H v Wolves 2–2 (xG 1.39–2.47)
Preston
LDLLW
- 10 Oct · H v Millwall 0–1 (xG 0.67–1.15)
- 19 Sep · A v QPR 2–2 (xG 1.50–2.54)
- 12 Sep · H v Lincoln 0–1 (xG 0.58–0.66)
- 8 Sep · A v Watford 1–2 (xG 2.44–1.26)
- 5 Sep · H v Blackburn 2–1 (xG 2.19–1.09)
Head-to-head
Birmingham 2 · draws 0 · Preston 0, 2.0 goals a game
- 22 Apr 2026 · Birmingham 2–1 Preston (Championship)
- 21 Oct 2025 · Preston 0–1 Birmingham (Championship)