Millwall
0–1
Swansea
Tue 13 Oct, 18:45
The Den
Edward Duckworth, England
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
39%
Bookmakers 39%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 27%
Away win
34%
Bookmakers 34%
Us 39%Bookmakers 39%
Edge +0.5 pts
Uncertainty ±1.9%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (+0.5%).
- Home win: 39% against a market price of 39% (+0.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsMillwall
WDDLL
- 10 Oct · A v Preston 1–0 (xG 1.15–0.67)
- 19 Sep · H v West Ham 2–2 (xG 2.68–1.87)
- 15 Sep · A v Middlesbrough 2–2 (xG 1.69–1.52)
- 12 Sep · A v Blackburn 1–3 (xG 1.67–1.23)
- 8 Sep · H v Newcastle 0–1
Swansea
WWWLD
- 10 Oct · H v Norwich 2–1 (xG 2.36–0.68)
- 19 Sep · A v Lincoln 2–1 (xG 0.92–2.11)
- 12 Sep · H v Burnley 3–1 (xG 2.63–1.73)
- 8 Sep · A v Southampton 1–3 (xG 1.22–1.44)
- 5 Sep · H v Wrexham 0–0 (xG 0.74–0.67)
Head-to-head
Millwall 3 · draws 1 · Swansea 0, 1.8 goals a game
- 4 Jan 2026 · Millwall 2–1 Swansea (Championship)
- 27 Sep 2025 · Swansea 1–1 Millwall (Championship)
- 26 Apr 2025 · Millwall 1–0 Swansea (Championship)
- 26 Oct 2024 · Swansea 0–1 Millwall (Championship)