Stoke City
2–3
Middlesbrough
Tue 13 Oct, 19:00
bet365 Stadium
Elliot Bell, England
Match result: no bet
WonHome win
29%
Bookmakers 27%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
45%
Bookmakers 48%
Us 45%Bookmakers 48%
Edge -2.9 pts
Uncertainty ±1.4%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (-2.9%).
- Away win: 45% against a market price of 48% (-2.9%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsStoke City
WWWDW
- 10 Oct · A v Bolton 2–1 (xG 0.74–3.13)
- 19 Sep · H v Sheffield Utd 2–1 (xG 0.65–0.36)
- 12 Sep · A v Watford 2–1 (xG 1.50–0.39)
- 8 Sep · A v Cardiff 1–1 (xG 0.75–2.92)
- 5 Sep · H v Charlton 4–0 (xG 2.14–0.61)
Middlesbrough
WDDWL
- 10 Oct · H v Wolves 1–0 (xG 0.90–0.68)
- 19 Sep · A v Birmingham 2–2 (xG 2.14–1.23)
- 15 Sep · H v Millwall 2–2 (xG 1.52–1.69)
- 12 Sep · H v Norwich 4–3 (xG 2.38–1.76)
- 8 Sep · A v Crystal Palace 0–3
Head-to-head
Stoke City 1 · draws 1 · Middlesbrough 3, 2.8 goals a game
- 21 Jan 2026 · Stoke City 1–2 Middlesbrough (Championship)
- 30 Sep 2025 · Middlesbrough 0–0 Stoke City (Championship)
- 25 Feb 2025 · Stoke City 1–3 Middlesbrough (Championship)
- 28 Sep 2024 · Middlesbrough 2–0 Stoke City (Championship)
- 27 Aug 2024 · Middlesbrough 0–5 Stoke City (League Cup)