Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham prediction

20:00

Fri 30 Oct, 20:00 Bramall Lane

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goals

Us 74%Books 73% Best odds 1.35 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

41%

Bookmakers 37%

Draw

28%

Bookmakers 28%

Away win

32%

Bookmakers 35%

Us 41%Bookmakers 37% Fair price Uncertainty ±1.8%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 41% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +3.1% alone is not enough).

Home win: 41% against a market price of 37% (+3.1%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham preview

Sheffield Utd host Wrexham in the Championship on Friday 30 October at 20:00 at Bramall Lane.

Our model gives Sheffield Utd 41%, the draw 28% and Wrexham 32%; the bookmakers' prices said 37%, 28% and 35%.

Sheffield Utd have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (8 scored, 6 conceded).

Wrexham have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (8 scored, 7 conceded).

In their last 3 meetings Sheffield Utd won 1, Wrexham won 2 and 0 were drawn, with 5.7 goals a game.

Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 74%.

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Sheffield Utd

DWLWL

24 Oct · H v Derby 1–1 (xG 2.55–1.15)
17 Oct · A v Bristol City 1–0 (xG 1.23–0.58)
14 Oct · A v Portsmouth 2–3 (xG 1.80–2.01)
10 Oct · H v Lincoln 3–0 (xG 0.61–1.34)
19 Sep · A v Stoke City 1–2 (xG 0.36–0.65)

Wrexham

LWLDW

24 Oct · A v Blackburn 0–2 (xG 1.74–1.61)
17 Oct · H v Preston 4–1 (xG 1.97–0.79)
13 Oct · H v West Brom 1–2 (xG 0.38–0.94)
10 Oct · A v Derby 1–1 (xG 1.46–0.60)
19 Sep · H v Southampton 2–1 (xG 0.54–2.08)

Head-to-head

Sheffield Utd 1 · draws 0 · Wrexham 2, 5.7 goals a game

21 Mar 2026 · Sheffield Utd 1–2 Wrexham (Championship)
26 Dec 2025 · Wrexham 5–3 Sheffield Utd (Championship)
13 Aug 2024 · Sheffield Utd 4–2 Wrexham (League Cup)