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Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster prediction

Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Stadium MK
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 79%Books 79% Best odds 1.24 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win
47%
Bookmakers 43%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
28%
Bookmakers 31%
Us 47%Bookmakers 43% Fair price Uncertainty ±4.2%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 47% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +4.0% alone is not enough).

  • Home win: 47% against a market price of 43% (+4.0%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster preview

Milton Keynes Dons host Doncaster in the League One on Saturday 31 October at 15:00 at Stadium MK.

Our model gives Milton Keynes Dons 47%, the draw 25% and Doncaster 28%; the bookmakers' prices said 43%, 26% and 31%.

Milton Keynes Dons have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (8 scored, 9 conceded).

Doncaster have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 7 conceded).

In their last 2 meetings Milton Keynes Dons won 0, Doncaster won 1 and 1 was drawn, with 2.5 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 79%.

More League One predictions

All League One matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Milton Keynes Dons

WWLWL
  • 27 Oct · H v Bromley 4–1 (xG 2.38–0.87)
  • 24 Oct · A v Stevenage 1–0 (xG 1.96–0.53)
  • 20 Oct · A v Blackpool 0–2 (xG 0.96–0.75)
  • 17 Oct · H v Luton 2–1 (xG 1.53–1.60)
  • 10 Oct · H v Reading 1–5 (xG 0.44–3.64)

Doncaster

LWLLW
  • 27 Oct · A v Luton 1–3 (xG 1.08–2.30)
  • 24 Oct · H v Sheffield Wednesday 2–0 (xG 1.30–1.26)
  • 20 Oct · H v Stockport County 0–2 (xG 0.22–3.35)
  • 17 Oct · A v Leicester 1–2 (xG 0.62–1.80)
  • 10 Oct · H v Burton Albion 1–0 (xG 0.62–0.94)

Head-to-head

Milton Keynes Dons 0 · draws 1 · Doncaster 1, 2.5 goals a game

  • 1 Feb 2025 · Doncaster 2–1 Milton Keynes Dons (League Two)
  • 21 Sep 2024 · Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 Doncaster (League Two)