Peterborough vs Luton prediction
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00
Weston Homes Stadium
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 85%Books 86% Best odds 1.13 (Pinnacle)
Match result: no bet
Home win
29%
Bookmakers 28%
Draw
23%
Bookmakers 23%
Away win
48%
Bookmakers 49%
Us 48%Bookmakers 49%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 48% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Away win: 48% against a market price of 49% (-0.9%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Peterborough vs Luton preview
Peterborough host Luton in the League One on Saturday 31 October at 15:00 at Weston Homes Stadium.
Our model gives Peterborough 29%, the draw 23% and Luton 48%; the bookmakers' prices said 28%, 23% and 49%.
Peterborough have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (7 scored, 10 conceded).
Luton have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (12 scored, 6 conceded).
In their last 2 meetings Peterborough won 0, Luton won 2 and 0 were drawn, with 2.5 goals a game.
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 85%.
More League One predictions
All League One matches- Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 Bradford vs Huddersfield Huddersfield win 38% @ 2.55
- Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 Plymouth vs Reading Plymouth win 44% @ 2.33
- Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 Leyton Orient vs Cambridge United Cambridge United win 38% @ 2.46
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Leicester vs Stevenage Leicester win 48% @ 1.78
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Wigan vs Bromley Wigan win 51% @ 1.84
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Barnsley vs Oxford United Oxford United win 38% @ 2.61
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsPeterborough
LDLDW
- 27 Oct · A v Bradford 0–2 (xG 1.26–2.93)
- 24 Oct · A v Bromley 1–1 (xG 1.27–0.74)
- 20 Oct · A v Huddersfield 1–4 (xG 1.18–2.59)
- 17 Oct · H v Burton Albion 2–2 (xG 2.58–0.91)
- 10 Oct · A v Leicester 3–1 (xG 1.52–2.43)
Luton
WWWLW
- 27 Oct · H v Doncaster 3–1 (xG 2.30–1.08)
- 24 Oct · H v Leicester 2–1 (xG 1.68–1.09)
- 20 Oct · H v Barnsley 2–1 (xG 2.32–1.07)
- 17 Oct · A v Milton Keynes Dons 1–2 (xG 1.60–1.53)
- 10 Oct · A v Wycombe 4–1 (xG 2.89–2.20)
Head-to-head
Peterborough 0 · draws 0 · Luton 2, 2.5 goals a game
- 3 Apr 2026 · Luton 2–1 Peterborough (League One)
- 9 Aug 2025 · Peterborough 0–2 Luton (League One)