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Polessya vs Obolon'-Brovar: result and our prediction

Fri 23 Oct, 10:00 Tsentralnyi Stadion Andrey Kovalenko, Ukraine
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We said Polessya win (80%). It ended 3–0: we called it.

Match result: no bet

Void
Home win
80%
Bookmakers 80%
Draw
15%
Bookmakers 15%
Away win
5%
Bookmakers 5%
Us 80%Bookmakers 80% Fair price Uncertainty ±0.9%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-2.3% expected per unit).

  • Home win: 80% against a market price of 80% (-0.2%).

The full reasoning, 0 more markets and 2 versions of this pick

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Polessya vs Obolon'-Brovar: how it went

Polessya played Obolon'-Brovar in the Premier League on Friday 23 October at Tsentralnyi Stadion; it ended 3–0.

Before kickoff our model gave Polessya 80%, the draw 15% and Obolon'-Brovar 5%; the bookmakers' prices said 80%, 15% and 5%.

Polessya have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats from their last 5 (12 scored, 4 conceded).

Obolon'-Brovar have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (4 scored, 9 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings Polessya won 3, Obolon'-Brovar won 0 and 1 was drawn, with 3.0 goals a game.

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Form and head-to-head

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Polessya

WDWWW
  • 18 Oct · H v Dynamo Kyiv 3–1
  • 11 Oct · A v Bukovyna 2–2
  • 18 Sep · H v Kryvbas KR 1–0
  • 13 Sep · H v Livyi Bereh 1–0
  • 4 Sep · H v Kudrivka 5–1

Obolon'-Brovar

WDLLD
  • 16 Oct · H v Veres Rivne 2–0
  • 18 Sep · A v Chornomorets 1–1
  • 12 Sep · A v LNZ Cherkasy 1–3
  • 5 Sep · A v FC Kharkiv 0–5
  • 28 Aug · A v Kolos Kovalivka 0–0

Head-to-head

Polessya 3 · draws 1 · Obolon'-Brovar 0, 3.0 goals a game

  • 26 Apr 2026 · Polessya 3–1 Obolon'-Brovar (Premier League)
  • 25 Oct 2025 · Obolon'-Brovar 0–4 Polessya (Premier League)
  • 28 Feb 2025 · Obolon'-Brovar 0–0 Polessya (Premier League)
  • 25 Aug 2024 · Polessya 4–0 Obolon'-Brovar (Premier League)