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SKN ST. Polten vs WSPG Wels prediction

Fri 30 Oct, 17:30 NV Arena
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 82%Books 82% Best odds 1.20 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win
57%
Bookmakers 55%
Draw
22%
Bookmakers 23%
Away win
21%
Bookmakers 22%
Us 57%Bookmakers 55% Fair price Uncertainty ±1.8%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 57% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +1.5% alone is not enough).

  • Home win: 57% against a market price of 55% (+1.5%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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SKN ST. Polten vs WSPG Wels preview

SKN ST. Polten host WSPG Wels in the 2. Liga on Friday 30 October at 17:30 at NV Arena.

Our model gives SKN ST. Polten 57%, the draw 22% and WSPG Wels 21%; the bookmakers' prices said 55%, 23% and 22%.

SKN ST. Polten have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (7 scored, 6 conceded).

WSPG Wels have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (7 scored, 15 conceded).

In their last 2 meetings SKN ST. Polten won 1, WSPG Wels won 0 and 1 was drawn, with 1.5 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 82%.

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

SKN ST. Polten

DDLWW
  • 23 Oct · A v SV Kapfenberg 1–1
  • 16 Oct · H v Rapid Wien II 0–0
  • 9 Oct · A v First Vienna 1–3
  • 19 Sep · H v Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 2–1
  • 13 Sep · A v FC Liefering 3–1

WSPG Wels

LDWLL
  • 23 Oct · H v Voitsberg 2–6
  • 16 Oct · A v Austria Vienna (Am) 2–2
  • 10 Oct · H v Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 1–0
  • 18 Sep · H v First Vienna 1–3
  • 12 Sep · A v FC BW Linz 1–4

Head-to-head

SKN ST. Polten 1 · draws 1 · WSPG Wels 0, 1.5 goals a game

  • 14 May 2026 · SKN ST. Polten 1–0 WSPG Wels (2. Liga)
  • 28 Nov 2025 · WSPG Wels 1–1 SKN ST. Polten (2. Liga)