VfL Wolfsburg vs VfL Osnabrück prediction
Sat 31 Oct, 12:00
Volkswagen Arena
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 88%Books 89% Best odds 1.12 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
54%
Bookmakers 63%
Draw
22%
Bookmakers 20%
Away win
25%
Bookmakers 18%
Us 54%Bookmakers 63%
Odds too short
Uncertainty ±5.4%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 54% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 54% against a market price of 63% (-9.1%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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VfL Wolfsburg vs VfL Osnabrück preview
VfL Wolfsburg host VfL Osnabrück in the 2. Bundesliga on Saturday 31 October at 12:00 at Volkswagen Arena.
Our model gives VfL Wolfsburg 54%, the draw 22% and VfL Osnabrück 25%; the bookmakers' prices said 63%, 20% and 18%.
VfL Wolfsburg have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (15 scored, 10 conceded).
VfL Osnabrück have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (7 scored, 7 conceded).
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 88%.
More 2. Bundesliga predictions
All 2. Bundesliga matches- Fri 30 Oct, 17:30 Arminia Bielefeld vs Eintracht Braunschweig Arminia Bielefeld win 51% @ 1.78
- Fri 30 Oct, 17:30 Energie Cottbus vs VfL Bochum VfL Bochum win 38% @ 2.37
- Sat 31 Oct, 12:00 SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg win 41% @ 2.27
- Sat 31 Oct, 12:00 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Hertha BSC Hertha BSC win 39% @ 2.38
- Sat 31 Oct, 19:30 Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim win 41% @ 2.22
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsVfL Wolfsburg
LDWDW
- 28 Oct · A v SC Freiburg 2–3 (xG 1.48–1.72)
- 23 Oct · A v VfL Bochum 1–1 (xG 0.78–1.59)
- 17 Oct · H v 1. FC Heidenheim 3–1 (xG 1.68–2.04)
- 10 Oct · A v 1. FC Nürnberg 4–4 (xG 3.71–2.38)
- 18 Sep · H v SV Darmstadt 98 5–1 (xG 1.72–1.23)
VfL Osnabrück
WLDDL
- 25 Oct · H v SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3–0 (xG 2.55–0.65)
- 18 Oct · A v Arminia Bielefeld 1–2 (xG 1.48–1.12)
- 10 Oct · H v Dynamo Dresden 1–1 (xG 1.45–0.61)
- 19 Sep · A v Holstein Kiel 1–1 (xG 1.82–2.10)
- 13 Sep · H v Hertha BSC 1–3 (xG 1.73–2.14)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.