Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Meppen prediction
Fri 30 Oct, 18:00
Merkur Spiel-Arena
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 82%Books 83% Best odds 1.18 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
47%
Bookmakers 53%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 23%
Away win
29%
Bookmakers 25%
Us 47%Bookmakers 53%
Odds too short
Uncertainty ±5.0%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 47% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 47% against a market price of 53% (-5.9%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Meppen preview
Fortuna Düsseldorf host SV Meppen in the 3. Liga on Friday 30 October at 18:00 at Merkur Spiel-Arena.
Our model gives Fortuna Düsseldorf 47%, the draw 24% and SV Meppen 29%; the bookmakers' prices said 53%, 23% and 25%.
Fortuna Düsseldorf have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 8 conceded).
SV Meppen have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (8 scored, 3 conceded).
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 82%.
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsFortuna Düsseldorf
DLWDL
- 24 Oct · A v Hansa Rostock 1–1
- 17 Oct · H v FC Saarbrücken 1–3
- 14 Oct · A v Preußen Münster 2–1
- 11 Oct · H v Verl 2–2
- 19 Sep · A v Alemannia Aachen 0–1
SV Meppen
WDWDL
- 24 Oct · H v Würzburger Kickers 4–0
- 18 Oct · H v Havelse 1–1
- 13 Oct · A v Hansa Rostock 2–0
- 10 Oct · H v Stuttgart II 1–1 (xG 2.56–0.63)
- 19 Sep · A v Hoffenheim II 0–1
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.