Başakşehir vs Samsunspor prediction

13:00

Sun 1 Nov, 13:00 Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 81%Books 80% Best odds 1.23 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

57%

Bookmakers 53%

Draw

23%

Bookmakers 24%

Away win

20%

Bookmakers 23%

Us 57%Bookmakers 53% Fair price Uncertainty ±1.7%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 57% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +3.8% alone is not enough).

Home win: 57% against a market price of 53% (+3.8%).

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Başakşehir vs Samsunspor preview

Başakşehir host Samsunspor in the Süper Lig on Sunday 1 November at 13:00 at Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium.

Our model gives Başakşehir 57%, the draw 23% and Samsunspor 20%; the bookmakers' prices said 53%, 24% and 23%.

Başakşehir have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 8 conceded).

Samsunspor have 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats from their last 5 (3 scored, 15 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings Başakşehir won 3, Samsunspor won 1 and 0 were drawn, with 2.8 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 81%.

More Süper Lig predictions

All Süper Lig matches

Fri 30 Oct, 17:00 Konyaspor vs Galatasaray Galatasaray win 59% @ 1.62
Sat 31 Oct, 10:30 Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK Erzurumspor FK win 38% @ 2.72
Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 Kocaelispor vs Rizespor Kocaelispor win 39% @ 2.70
Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe Fenerbahçe win 70% @ 1.36
Sun 1 Nov, 10:30 Amed vs Eyüpspor Amed win 77% @ 1.29
Sun 1 Nov, 13:00 Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK Trabzonspor win 74% @ 1.38

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Başakşehir

LWDWL

26 Oct · A v Beşiktaş 0–2 (xG 0.38–1.88)
18 Oct · H v Gaziantep FK 2–1 (xG 2.03–1.13)
11 Oct · A v Konyaspor 0–0 (xG 0.97–0.41)
19 Sep · H v Gençlerbirliği S.K. 4–0 (xG 2.74–0.52)
13 Sep · A v Amed 0–5 (xG 0.39–4.25)

Samsunspor

LLLLL

24 Oct · H v Amed 1–2 (xG 0.91–1.54)
18 Oct · A v Kasımpaşa 1–4 (xG 1.13–2.60)
10 Oct · H v Trabzonspor 0–3 (xG 1.66–2.02)
20 Sep · A v Erzurumspor FK 0–1 (xG 0.36–0.72)
12 Sep · H v Çorum FK 1–5 (xG 1.23–1.73)

Head-to-head

Başakşehir 3 · draws 0 · Samsunspor 1, 2.8 goals a game

9 May 2026 · Başakşehir 3–0 Samsunspor (Süper Lig)
14 Dec 2025 · Samsunspor 0–2 Başakşehir (Süper Lig)
1 Feb 2025 · Başakşehir 4–0 Samsunspor (Süper Lig)
18 Sep 2024 · Samsunspor 2–0 Başakşehir (Süper Lig)