Esenler Erokspor vs Keçiörengücü prediction

17:00

Fri 30 Oct, 17:00 Esenler Stadium

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 78%Books 78% Best odds 1.24 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

45%

Bookmakers 47%

Draw

26%

Bookmakers 26%

Away win

29%

Bookmakers 27%

Us 45%Bookmakers 47% Odds too short Uncertainty ±1.9%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 45% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

Home win: 45% against a market price of 47% (-2.5%).

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Esenler Erokspor vs Keçiörengücü preview

Esenler Erokspor host Keçiörengücü in the 1. Lig on Friday 30 October at 17:00 at Esenler Stadium.

Our model gives Esenler Erokspor 45%, the draw 26% and Keçiörengücü 29%; the bookmakers' prices said 47%, 26% and 27%.

Esenler Erokspor have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (8 scored, 8 conceded).

Keçiörengücü have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (7 scored, 6 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings Esenler Erokspor won 1, Keçiörengücü won 0 and 3 were drawn, with 2.8 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 78%.

Form and head-to-head

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