Brisbane Roar vs Auckland prediction

09:00

Fri 30 Oct, 09:00 Suncorp Stadium

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 75%Books 74% Best odds 1.32 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

32%

Bookmakers 32%

Draw

27%

Bookmakers 28%

Away win

40%

Bookmakers 40%

Us 40%Bookmakers 40% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.2%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 40% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.4% alone is not enough).

Away win: 40% against a market price of 40% (+0.4%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Brisbane Roar vs Auckland preview

Brisbane Roar host Auckland in the A-League on Friday 30 October at 09:00 at Suncorp Stadium.

Our model gives Brisbane Roar 32%, the draw 27% and Auckland 40%; the bookmakers' prices said 32%, 28% and 40%.

Brisbane Roar have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (7 scored, 8 conceded).

Auckland have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 (10 scored, 7 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings Brisbane Roar won 0, Auckland won 3 and 1 was drawn, with 2.0 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 75%.

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Brisbane Roar

WLLDD

23 Oct · H v Perth Glory 2–1
25 Apr · A v Perth Glory 1–2 (xG 1.52–1.93)
18 Apr · H v Melbourne City 2–3 (xG 1.09–2.28)
10 Apr · A v Central Coast Mariners 2–2 (xG 1.50–0.36)
2 Apr · H v Sydney 0–0 (xG 1.67–0.02)

Auckland

LWWWD

24 Oct · A v Western Sydney Wanderers 2–5
17 Oct · H v Melbourne City 3–1
23 May · H v Sydney 1–0 (xG 0.39–0.28)
15 May · A v Adelaide United 3–0 (xG 2.03–1.35)
9 May · H v Adelaide United 1–1 (xG 0.85–1.34)

Head-to-head

Brisbane Roar 0 · draws 1 · Auckland 3, 2.0 goals a game

9 Jan 2026 · Brisbane Roar 0–2 Auckland (A-League)
23 Nov 2025 · Auckland 1–1 Brisbane Roar (A-League)
30 Mar 2025 · Brisbane Roar 0–2 Auckland (A-League)
19 Oct 2024 · Auckland 2–0 Brisbane Roar (A-League)