Al Sadd vs Al Shamal prediction
Fri 30 Oct, 16:30
Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 91%Books 91% Best odds 1.09 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
62%
Bookmakers 65%
Draw
19%
Bookmakers 18%
Away win
19%
Bookmakers 17%
Us 62%Bookmakers 65%
Odds too short
Uncertainty ±2.3%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-7.4% expected per unit).
- Home win: 62% against a market price of 65% (-3.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Al Sadd vs Al Shamal preview
Al Sadd host Al Shamal in the Stars League on Friday 30 October at 16:30 at Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium.
Our model gives Al Sadd 62%, the draw 19% and Al Shamal 19%; the bookmakers' prices said 65%, 18% and 17%.
Al Sadd have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (9 scored, 9 conceded).
Al Shamal have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 8 conceded).
In their last 4 meetings Al Sadd won 3, Al Shamal won 1 and 0 were drawn, with 3.0 goals a game.
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 91%.
More Stars League predictions
All Stars League matches- Fri 30 Oct, 14:15 Al Shahaniya vs Al Ahli Doha Al Ahli Doha win 46% @ 2.02
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsAl Sadd
DWLLL
- 26 Oct · A v Al-Qadisiyah FC 1–1 (xG 1.44–0.84)
- 22 Oct · A v Al Shahaniya 4–0 (xG 2.14–0.60)
- 18 Oct · H v Al-Duhail SC 2–3 (xG 2.24–2.50)
- 13 Oct · H v Al-Hilal Saudi FC 0–2 (xG 0.77–2.60)
- 9 Oct · H v Al-Arabi SC 2–3
Al Shamal
WLDDL
- 27 Oct · H v Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3–1 (xG 2.84–1.52)
- 23 Oct · H v Qatar SC 2–3 (xG 2.21–1.28)
- 17 Oct · A v Lusail City 0–0 (xG 0.63–0.87)
- 12 Oct · A v Tractor Sazi 0–0 (xG 0.53–1.37)
- 8 Oct · H v Al-Duhail SC 0–4
Head-to-head
Al Sadd 3 · draws 0 · Al Shamal 1, 3.0 goals a game
- 27 Apr 2026 · Al Sadd 3–2 Al Shamal (Stars League)
- 29 Dec 2025 · Al Shamal 0–3 Al Sadd (Stars League)
- 12 Jan 2025 · Al Sadd 1–0 Al Shamal (Stars League)
- 10 Aug 2024 · Al Shamal 2–1 Al Sadd (Stars League)